6.11 Spatial Applications for Agriculture: Educational Case Studies
Principal Investigators
Scott
A. Shearer, Associate Professor, Biosystems and Agricultural Engineering
Thomas G.
Mueller, Assistant Professor, Agronomy
Carl R. Dillon,
Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics
Samuel G. McNeill, Assistant Extension Professor, Biosystems and Agricultural
Engineering
Introduction
Favorable
economic conditions during the mid to late 90s and the lower cost DGPS equipment
allowed many producers to initiate site-specific management of crop production.
Perhaps most significant was the evolution of the yield-monitor, and the
attendant yield maps that illustrated the variability that exists across the
soil landscape. In response many
producers began soil-sampling programs with the hope that variable-rate
fertilizer would bolster productivity. Today,
low crop prices coupled with drought conditions in 1999 are causing many
producers to question the profitability of many precision agriculture practices.
To this end we, a team of multidisciplinary educators and researchers,
propose to develop a series of educational modules oriented towards answering
many of the question posed by producers, and to illustrate new opportunities for
adopting and utilizing appropriate site-specific management practices in
production agriculture. Many of the
proposed modules are focused on quantifying the economics of precision
agriculture.
Objectives
1.
To develop 15 educational modules for use in teaching precision
agriculture concepts to undergraduate students at UK, and for use in training
Kentucky agricultural extension agents, service providers, and producers.
2.
To deliver these instructional modules to interested parties via classes
at UK, short courses, and the Internet.
Background
College
courses that focus on helping the undergraduate student to develop an
understanding and appreciation for site-specific crop management are just now
beginning to emerge. Shearer and
Barnhisel (1997) offered one of the first college courses in precision
agriculture. Similar efforts were
underway at other four-year institutions in the U.S. (Ess and Morgan, 1997) and
at community colleges (Brase, 1997). These
courses, as well as contemporary primers (Morgan and Ess, 1997), focused on
explaining the technology to novice and would-be users.
Data to support the profitability of this technology was just beginning
to emerge. Today, we know more
about the potential returns to these management practices, and most
practitioners now recognize these returns depend heavily on the nature of the
variability that exists across the soil landscape, as well as the approach they
choose to manage this variability. Further, that the profitability of these practices vary from
state to state, farm to farm, and even field to field.
Holt
and Sonka (1995) provide a framework for transferring agricultural technology in
the 21st century. They
identified a four-tier approach to research and development (R&D).
The four-tiers are basic research, developmental research, adaptive
research, and technology transfer. With
this approach they advocate an integrated approach to R&D of which
technology transfer is a key focus. They
contend that full integration of technology transfer within the R&D
structure saves time and helps R&D personnel recognize potential problems
sooner. Tim (1999) provides a model
for integrated technology in precision agriculture via the Internet. The model environment is composed of instructional materials,
study guides, activities, virtual field trips, chat pages, and links to other
sources of information.
Procedures
In
Kentucky we propose a series of educational modules with supporting background
and hands-on activities to be developed to foster the understanding and
implementation of precision agriculture practices for the spatial management of
crop production. This will be a
three-year effort with a minimum of five educational modules developed and
evaluated each year. Each module
will be packaged for delivery to each of the groups noted above, with provisions
to utilize a variety of data sources. At
a minimum the following educational modules are proposed:
Year
1:
Coordinate
Conversion and Datums - Coordinate conversion and specification of datums often create
problems for practitioners of precision agriculture who utilize data from
numerous sources. The intent of
this educational module is for practitioners to develop a background in
coordinate conversion that enables them to manipulate GIS coverages, thereby
allowing them to resolve registration problems when using multiple layers of
data from numerous sources.
Boundary
Mapping and Area Determination - Points, arcs, and polygons; the basic building blocks of GIS
packages will be discussed. The
properties of each will be reviewed. An
exercise, based on Green's Theroem, will be developed to guide practitioners
through the process of calculating areas from projected coordinates.
This is a basic and fundamental element of any GIS package, and this
exercise should serve to foster a better understanding of the capabilities
of these packages.
Yield
Map Generation
- Yield map generation, for the most part, has become a routine task for
most producers. Unfortunately,
the yield map generation task is entrusted to agricultural software
developers. This educational
module will be designed to instruct practitioners in data filtering
techniques that enable them to eliminate spurious data, and then to generate
yield maps using a standard convention that allows for visual
interpretation.
Soil
Sampling
- Soil sampling to describe variability is far from a science, as
implemented today it is more of an art. Routinely,
an aligned grid is used for simplicity, with resolution driven by what the
market will bear. This module
is intended as a review of possible alternatives to the more traditional
approach. Yield maps will be
used in conjunction with other sources of data to compare and contrast a
"smart" sampling approach with grid sampling.
Interpolation
Techniques for Map Generation - Many precision agriculture practitioners
routinely use interpolation techniques to generate maps for visual
interpretation. Unfortunately
this is done with little knowledge of which method is most appropriate.
This exercise will detail the development of kriging, inverse
distance, minimum-curvature, nearest neighbor, triangulation, and polynomial
regression interpolation techniques. The
intent will be to illustrate variations in interpolated surfaces in relation
to the methods used to generate these surfaces, and the accuracy of
interpolation techniques for predicting parameter values at unknown
locations.
Year
2:
Land-Use
Determination form Historical Yield Data - Perhaps the most significant opportunity with
respect to spatial management of crop production is the identification of
regions that are not profitable for crop production, or those where revenue
can be improved through participation in government program such as the
Conservation Reserve Program (CRP). Historical
yield data will be analyzed to determine the best course of action for a
producer to pursue given the current value of grain and production costs. Yield stability from year to year and crop to crop will
be used as a basis for making land-use decisions.
Profit
Map Generation
- Perhaps the most important coverage to be generated with regard to the
spatial management of crop production is the profit map.
This unit will focus specification of fixed and variable productions
costs, gross receipts of marketed grains, and the spatial distribution of
profits. Profit maps form
multiple years will be generated so that students can identify the regions
of the field that are consistently profitable, in an attempt to distinguish
these from areas that are not.
Variable-Rate
Fertilizer Recommendations - Variable-rate fertilizer application is most
frequently based on the spatial distribution of soil fertility levels and
the anticipated benefits of fertilizer and soil amendment application.
Soil fertility data will be interpolated to produce a surface of the
respective attributes. AGR-1
soil fertility recommendations will then be utilized to generate application
surfaces. Surfaces will then be
translated into management zones for generation of the application maps that
are downloaded for application control.
Application file features will be discussed along with standards for
their generation.
Variable-Rate
Fertilizer Application - Many producers view variable-rate fertilizer application as the
epitome of precision agriculture practices. Potential errors relating to variable-rate application
may nullify many of the potential profit enhancing characteristics of this
activity. This case study will
be designed such that practitioners appreciate the potential for errors
associated with variable-rate application.
Further, application errors will be modeled for spinner and air-boom
applicators, and in turn used to predict the actual application surface.
Predicted application surfaces will be compared with the desired
application surfaces. Model
parameters will then be adjusted so that practitioners gain an appreciation
for how "look-ahead" rate changes, application overlap, and
control systems response affects application accuracy.
Economics
of Variable-Rate Fertilizer Application - The economics of variable-rate
application will be projected from crop response curves to estimate the
potential returns to management. Inherent
in any economic analysis is the effect of errors on the marginal returns.
To this end soil parameter interpolation errors will be combined with
application errors to determine the overall effect of sampling and
management grid resolution on net returns.
Students will be guided through a strategy for optimizing marginal
returns by adjusting the various management parameters.
Year
3:
Remote
Sensing
- Remote sensing offer potential benefits to Kentucky producers.
This data has proven useful for predicting biomass accumulation and
yield. Other possible uses
include determination of soil moisture contents and organic matter contents.
This exercise will focus on importing satellite images, registering
these with digital rectified orthoquads, field boundaries, and yield maps.
Various common vegetative indices will be compared to yield monitor
data to assess the suitability of these parameters for predicting yield.
Existing Landsat 5 images will be used in this activity.
Variable-Rate
Seeding
- Evidence is mounting to support variable-rate seeding in accordance with
topsoil depth, where higher rates are seeded in locations with thicker
topsoil. Response functions
will be generated for yield increases as a function of topsoil thickness.
This relationship will be applied to topsoil depth maps and
historical yields to determine if variable-rate seeding of corn is
warranted. Further, marginal
returns maps will be generated to visualize the spatial variation in
increased profits as compared with fixed-rate seeding.
Conducting
On-Farm Investigations - The technologies attendant to precision agriculture (GPS and
yield monitoring) now afford producers the opportunity to conduct on-farm
investigations. This unique
situation can be easily misused producing less than desirable results.
This module will concentrate on conceiving and carrying out field
investigations that allow producers to draw meaningful conclusions.
Variable-Rate
Nitrogen Application - Variable-rate nitrogen application in accordance with historical
yields may be profitable on well-drained karstic soils.
Data from actual field investigations will be presented to
practitioners, and they will be guided in the analysis of this data using
linear regression to establish a response function.
This function will be applied to historical data from similar
investigation sites to predict crop response and the marginal returns
associated variable-rate application.
Soil
Conductivity Correlation with Landscape Features - Soil conductivity measurements are relatively
simple non-intrusive measurements that yield information about subsurface
features. These features may
range from clay pan depths to salinity concentrations.
Conductivity data will be presented along with soil landscape
features for correlation analysis. Practitioners
will be instructed in elementary data analysis techniques that will allow
them to determine if conductivity, at varying depths, is a reasonable
predictor of one or more of these features.
These
educational modules will be developed and implemented using platforms that
include Microsoft's Excel spreadsheet, ESRI's ArcView GIS, and Golden Software's
SURFER for Windows. The intent is
to utilize analysis tools that are commonly available within the university
community and through the Cooperative Extension Service.
Where appropriate Avenue scripts for ArcView will be developed to
streamline data manipulation and analysis.
These scripts will be distributed as public domain software.
Expected
Benefits
The
anticipated benefit of this educational effort will be better-informed students
and clientele groups. The primary educational goal is to focus on practices and
opportunities to increase producer profitability through the implementation of
spatial crop production management. Similarly,
these educational efforts are intended to help producers and managers recognize
in which settings the cost of implement precision agriculture crop production
practices may outstrip potential returns.
Deliverables
The
primary deliverable from this investigation will be a series of 15 educational
modules with supporting background materials to guide practitioners in the
acquisition of spatial data management analysis skills with a focus on
agricultural crop production in Kentucky. These
modules will be made available to all interested parties via the University of
Kentucky's Precision Agriculture web page, and through regularly scheduled short
courses and undergraduate course offerings.
Short courses will be scheduled on an as needed basis, with a minimum of
one workshop to be held per year for county agriculture agents, producers and
service providers. Parallel
extension publications will be generated for each of the educational modules.
These publications will be stand-alone documents that detail the
procedures for replicating the same analyses using a generalized approach.